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Author: Subject: Forecast Sat+sun - THE MET!
leonardo
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posted on 22-10-2004 at 11:58 Reply With Quote
Forecast Sat+sun - THE MET!

Not sure how reliable this will be but there is still a glimmer of hope as the MET is usually quite good..

24 hour forecast:
Wind: south or southeast 4 or 5 increasing south or southwest 7 to severe gale 9, veering northwest 4 or 5 overnight.
Weather: rain.
Visibility: moderate or poor.
Sea State: rough or very rough. Issued by the Met Office at 0500 UTC on Friday 22 October 2004.

Outlook for the following 24 hours:
Wind: backing south 7 to severe gale 9, then veering northwest 4 or 5.
Weather: rain at times.
Visibility: moderate or good, possibly poor at time.
Sea State: moderate or rough, occasionally very rough.

Might still be windy Cindy...






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leonardo
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posted on 22-10-2004 at 11:59 Reply With Quote
If this forecast happens (will need to check with Al) then riding waves on saturday in a F4-5 NW will be SUPERB!





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dunk
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posted on 22-10-2004 at 14:06 Reply With Quote
Can't get my head round this,

BBC lunchtime weather is giving out southerly gales and rain for the weekend.

Windfinder, SE 8 knts Sat , SW 8 knts Sun

Windguru, S 5-9 knts Sat , SSW 6-4 knts Sun

Then the Bok's forecast as above.

What'd you lot think?

Might stay home and go polesurfin


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AndyW
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posted on 22-10-2004 at 14:26 Reply With Quote
I don't know what the BBC are doing.

The pressure charts tell a diferent story.

http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/brack0a.html

Best chance of wind on Saturday is in the Midlands and the east, Draycote or Rutland...

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bucski
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posted on 22-10-2004 at 14:42 Reply With Quote
this forecast is usually very accurate, just about has borth at bottom of screen

http://cobs.pol.ac.uk/modl/metfcst/surpress/latest.php?im=11 />

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dunk
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posted on 22-10-2004 at 14:48 Reply With Quote
Cheers guys, I think I make my mind up in the morning.
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posted on 22-10-2004 at 16:29 Reply With Quote
then why dont we go to the NE coast of angelsey to llygwy bay or go down to porth call?





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mNeil
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posted on 22-10-2004 at 16:30 Reply With Quote
oh what is it going to be l9ike down brankaster?





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posted on 22-10-2004 at 17:00 Reply With Quote
think i might give hunstaton a go tomorrow, has the wind looks like it's going from the south to south west
15 - 20 ktns, could be good.


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posted on 22-10-2004 at 17:44 Reply With Quote
Looks as though the wind for Sat is going to be further South... the forecast even for S. Wales looks OK though so it might get here in time.

Looks as thought the Met Office forecast in an eariler post was either the shiiping or inshoire waters forecast... you almost always need to knock 1-2 forces off that as they always overestimate the wind.... (1) because it will actually be windier a mile or so out to sea and (2) just in case!

Surf should be good though, it was pumping this morning, then the SW kicked in and messed it up.

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posted on 22-10-2004 at 17:47 Reply With Quote
At least it won't be raining as much as it has been today and yesterday though... although it sill looks prety wet for Sat.

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mNeil
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posted on 22-10-2004 at 19:27 Reply With Quote
could it be worth a trip up then?





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posted on 22-10-2004 at 22:10 Reply With Quote
I'll post an update first thing in the morning...and let you know what it is ACTUALLY doing here.... although the wind is meant to fill in in the afternoon, and if the forecasts/charts are even 50 miles out we could get quite a bit of wind.

Al.







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posted on 23-10-2004 at 05:29 Reply With Quote
Early Morning update (6.30 am).... The wind is still here!!... 20-25 knots SW. Yeah man!!!

Unfortunatley forecasts have it dropping during the morning, to next to nothing around midday... but then picking up again late afternoon into the evening... better still, all of a sudden Sunday looks REALLY good.

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posted on 23-10-2004 at 08:34 Reply With Quote
Latest update....

Just been out playing on the beach with a 'kite-wing' and mt. board. The wind was dropping all the time and is now about 10 knots SW... Time to go for a surf at the Lifeboat Station.

Al.







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posted on 23-10-2004 at 11:03 Reply With Quote
It's now midday and as forecast, there is no wind at all!

It should fill in a bit later, but probably toolate before it gets it act together properly. Tomorrow still looks OK though. (SSW Force 5.)

Al.







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leonardo
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posted on 23-10-2004 at 11:54 Reply With Quote
Dude, cheers for the forecasts this morning - they really helped Neil, Dunk and I in figuring out where 2 go!
I believe the dunkstar & bluebeard r on their way and should be there any moh, whereas i have taken your advice and will be burning it there early 2 morra morning...C U THEN DUDE

DA BOK





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posted on 23-10-2004 at 12:18 Reply With Quote
Dim Prob!.... I've already seen Neil... no dout they are sat on the beach now moaning about the lack of wind!

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