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Author: Subject: Pikey massif outing in the estuary then this weekend?
justal
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posted on 14-7-2006 at 06:25 Reply With Quote
And thats here with 22 knot gusts.... in the estuary it may be a little more.

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justal
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posted on 14-7-2006 at 09:59 Reply With Quote
It looks as though Ivor is no running out of steam a little now today, but he did peak at 24 knots here at my house this morning, which probablty relates to close to 30 knots in the estuary... Maybe he is going to be on form this weekend??

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Impi
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posted on 14-7-2006 at 11:27 Reply With Quote
Even though the tides are all wrong I may do a mad early morning dash to catch Ivor tomorrow. If it is much like today it may be worth it.
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justal
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posted on 14-7-2006 at 15:38 Reply With Quote
quote:
Originally posted by chris
if the wind before the sea breeze is eastery it will increase our nw sea breeze because it will blow air over it and back out to sea rather that opose it.


That didn't work today... The Easterly wind managed to oppose the sea breeze all day long, despite the fact that the temps were higher than yesterday when we had one of the best sea breezes we'll get here.!

I can see the theory behind it, but that doesn't mean it works!

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AndyW
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posted on 14-7-2006 at 20:00 Reply With Quote
I was out today and although Ivor had some effect early on, by the time high tide came it was dropping off. Less chance to get a good session tomoz with the later high tide.

I ended up using my 9.0m to get well powered up in the channel after high tide. You might need to be early to catch Ivor, hopefully there'll be some water!

Andy

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justal
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posted on 15-7-2006 at 05:29 Reply With Quote
Yep... Just been down to the estuary, plenty of wind... 20 knots + but no water!

Al.







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posted on 15-7-2006 at 16:29 Reply With Quote
quote:
Originally posted by justal
To put my neck on the line I reckon Ivor will be blowing down the estuary in the morning this weekend, probably not particularly strongly but stronger than the general forecast of 5-6 knots, maybe 15-20 knots if we are lucky. He'll probably peak around 8-9am. How strong he will be depends on the amount of cloud cover and how much the temps fall overnight.
Once the land begins to warm up he'll soon ease off and the forecasted 6 knots or so E will be in effect.
By midday the sea-breeze effect will start to oppose the E wind and in the afternoon a gentle sea-breeze will probably fill in, although I doubt it will come to much.


Well, I put my neck on the line with that forecast... It wasn't perfect but it wasn't far off either. Ivor was indeed in effect in the morning but he was coming down the valley with a little more puff than expected as the cloud cover conditions were just perfect for him... clear skies over the sea and increasing clouds over the hills as the sun rose.
he did indeed peak between 8am and 9am as predicted (8.34am to be precise) at about 25 knots.

The fact that he was a little stronger than expected meant that he also lasted a little longer, by midday he was blowing at around 12-15 knots and then dropped off pretty quickly after that. The gentle Easterly (forecast by the met office) then persisted until about 3pm when a sea breeze finally filled in and managed to oopse the easterlies. As predicted didn't come to much, althoug it did manage a few gusts that reached 16 knots at one point.

Lets hope Ivor does the same tomorrow.

Al.







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